Many people were surprised by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the policy shifts announced by the Trump administration. How can we detect these kinds of geopolitical shifts in time? The experts on this English-spoken panel are:

To what extent can AI help us in crisis detection? We discuss this with:

Cyber threats: how to recognise the right signal [nl]

Cyber threats are transboundary and therefore more difficult to detect than many other threats. The following experts talk about how we can detect cyber threats:

Fraud detection [nl]

Large-scale fraud cases are frequently in the news and seem to follow a similar pattern. The following experts talk about how we can detect fraud before it creates a crisis:

How successful practitioners reason

In this panel, a detective, journalist, general practitioner and professor discuss how they reason to arrive at the most likely explanation despite a lack of empirical evidence

High-reliability organiZations [nl]

High-reliability organizations (HROs) operate in complex, high-risk systems without causing accidents. In this panel, practitioners discuss how they apply HRO-principles within their own organizations:

Lessons from the university of delaware disaster research center [en]

Understanding that a potentially catastrophic surprising event (such as a major natural disaster, public health crisis, or unanticipated military or terrorist attack) is about to occur has long been an aspiration of public and private sector crisis managers. The University of Delaware’s Disaster Research Center has been leading a multi-institutional, multi-disciplinary planning group focused on developing the basic science needed to understand, theorize, and forewarn against potentially catastrophic surprises. The group intends to draw on multiple branches of knowledge to develop new ways of representing surprise dangers for officials, policymakers, and the public with the explicit goal of determining ways to better anticipate, avert, or contend with catastrophic surprises. The presentation will provide an overview of these efforts in the hopes of expanding the collaborations around this topic.